Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011
2025-04-27 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013
2025-05-04 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000016
2025-05-11 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019
2025-05-18 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022
2025-05-25 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026
2025-06-01 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000030
2025-06-08 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000020 0.000035
2025-06-15 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022 0.000041
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000045
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000051
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000026 0.000057
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000028 0.000066
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000031 0.000078
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000033 0.000091
2025-08-03 0.000002 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000036 0.000107
2025-08-10 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000039 0.000125
2025-08-17 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000043 0.000147
2025-08-24 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000045 0.000164
2025-08-31 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000048 0.000190
2025-09-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000052 0.000223
2025-09-14 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000054 0.000247
2025-09-21 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000058 0.000282